A study shows Britain is now majority Remain. But reliance on data is not a motor for change
Peter Kellner’s “crossover day” has caused some commotion. Last Saturday, according to the veteran pollster, Britain became a majority Remain nation through demographic changes alone. Kellner’s calculations suggested that in the period since the 2016 referendum, sufficient old folk (who largely voted Leave) had died and enough teenagers, overwhelmingly Remain, had reached voting age to have wiped out the majority for Brexit.
Remainers seized on Kellner’s projections as ammunition for a second referendum. Critics (not all Leave supporters) condemned them as being, in the words of the Labour MP Caroline Flint, “unhelpful, ageist and divisive”. Whichever view one takes, the ruckus over “crossover day” reveals the way that political demography – the study of the relationship between population changes and political attitudes – has become increasingly central to public debate.
Related: Where next? How to cope with Brexit uncertainty
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